Redigerer Robert Shiller

{{Infoboks biografi}}
'''Robert James Shiller''' (født [[1946]]) er en [[USA|amerikansk]] [[Samfunnsøkonomi|økonom]], akademiker, og bestselgende forfatter. 

Han har vært tilknyttet [[National Bureau of Economic Research]] siden 1980 som forsker, og var visepresident for [[American Economic Association]] i 2005 og president for Eastern Economic Association i perioden fra 2006 til 2007. Shiller er Stanley B. Resor-økonomiprofessor ved [[Yale University]] og er ''Fellow'' ved Yale International Center for Finance, [[Yale School of Management]]. 

Boken ''[[Irrational Exuberance (bok)|Irrational Exuberance]]'' fra 2000 ble en bestselger på [[The New York Times]]-listen. I boken advarte Shiller om at aksjemarkedet sent på 1990-tallet hadde blitt en boble som kunne lede til en kraftig nedgang.

Shiller fikk i 1967 bachelorgrad ved [[University of Michigan]] og avla i 1972 [[Filosofisk doktorgrad|Ph.D.-graden]] ved [[Massachusetts Institute of Technology]]. Fra 1982 har han undervist ved Yale University. Han var tidligere tilknyttet ved [[Wharton School]] ved [[University of Pennsylvania]] og [[University of Minnesota]].

Shiller medgrunnla Case Shiller Weiss, Inc., et selskap som driver økonomisk analyse, og MacroMarkets LLC, som arbeider for verdipapirisering av uvanlig risiko.

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He has written on economic topics that range from [[behavioral finance]] to [[real estate]] to [[risk management]], and has been co-organizer of NBER workshops on behavioral finance with [[Richard Thaler]] since 1991. His book ''[[Macro Markets]]'' won the first annual [[Paul A. Samuelson]] Award of [[TIAA-CREF]]. He currently publishes a syndicated column. 

In 1981 Shiller published an article in the ''[[American Economic Review]]'', titled "Do stock prices move too much to be justified by subsequent changes in dividends?" He challenged the [[efficient market hypothesis|efficient markets]] model, which at that time was the dominant view in the economics profession. Shiller argued that in a rational stock market, investors would base stock prices on the expected receipt of future dividends, discounted to a present value. He examined the performance of the U.S. stock market since the 1920s, and considered the kinds of expectations of future dividends and discount rates that could justify the wide range of variation experienced in the stock market. Shiller concluded that the volatility of the stock market was greater than could plausibly be explained by any rational view of the future.   

The behavioral finance school gained new credibility following the [[Black Monday (1987)|October 1987 stock market crash]]. Shiller's work included survey research that asked investors and stock traders what motivated them to make trades; the results further bolstered his hypothesis that these decisions are often driven by emotion instead of rational calculation. Much of this survey data has been gathered continuously since 1989, and is available at Yale's [http://icf.som.yale.edu/confidence.index/ Investor Behavior Project].

Shiller's most recent book is ''The New Financial Order: Risk in the 21st Century'' (2003).

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== Noen bøker ==
* [[The new financial order : risk in the 21st century]] by Robert J Shiller, Princeton University Press, 2003, ISBN 0-691-09172-2
* [[Irrational exuberance]] by Robert J Shiller, Princeton University Press, 2000, ISBN 0-691-05062-7
* [[Macro markets : creating institutions for managing society's largest economic risks]] by Robert J Shiller, Oxford : Clarendon Press ; New York : Oxford University Press, 1993, ISBN 0-19-828782-8
* [[Market volatility (book)|Market volatility]] by Robert J Shiller, MIT Press, 1989, ISBN 0-262-19290-X

== Referanser ==
<references />

== Eksterne lenker ==
* {{Offisielt nettsted}}
* [https://web.archive.org/web/20060828104550/http://mba.yale.edu/faculty/profiles/shiller.shtml Faculty biography] ved [[Yale School of Management]] 
* [http://knowledge.wharton.upenn.edu/index.cfm?fa=viewArticle&id=577 Stocks Revisited: Siegel and Shiller Debate]
* [https://web.archive.org/web/20050305082517/http://www.project-syndicate.org/series/series_list.php4?id=27 Robert Shiller's syndicated monthly op/ed column for Project Syndicate]
* [http://www.econ.yale.edu/~shiller/behfin/index.htm Robert Shiller's Workshop in Behavioral Finance]
* [http://www.yaleeconomicreview.com/fall2005/robertshiller.php{{død lenke|dato=august 2017 |bot=InternetArchiveBot }} Robert Shiller research from Yale Economic Review]{{Død lenke|dato=april 2019 |bot=InternetArchiveBot }}
* [https://web.archive.org/web/20031218125848/http://homepage.mac.com/ttsmyf the compelling Real DJIA, 1924-now]
* [https://web.archive.org/web/20040313053814/http://homepage.mac.com/ttsmyf/3warnsRD.html the 3 Fed Chair warnings, Real DJIA]

{{Nobelprisvinnere 2013}}
{{Nobelprisvinnere i økonomi 2001–2025}}

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{{STANDARDSORTERING:Shiller, Robert}}
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